- Meteorologists had already warned that this would be one of the most active hurricane seasons in history.
- In fact, right now, three simultaneous storms are gaining force across the Atlantic and the Pacific.
- First Fred and Grace formed, the sixth and seventh tropical storms of the Atlantic hurricane season; while Hurricane Linda strengthened in the Pacific.
Meteorologists had already warned that this would be one of the most active hurricane seasons in history. In fact, right now, three simultaneous storms are gaining force across the Atlantic and the Pacific.
First Fred and Grace formed, the sixth and seventh tropical storms of the Atlantic hurricane season; while in the Pacific, Hurricane Linda strengthened, reaching category 4, reported the National Meteorological Service (SMN) of Mexico.
Three storms simultaneously: LINDA gains strength in the Pacific
Regarding Linda, this Saturday the authorities indicated that it is located 790 kilometers south-southwest of Cabo San Lázaro, Baja California Sur state, and that it is moving at 20 kilometers per hour towards the west-northwest, thus moving away from the Mexican coasts. . “It had maximum sustained winds of 215 kilometers per hour, gusts of 260 kilometers per hour and displacement to the west-northwest at 20 kilometers per hour,” said the SMN.
Since Thursday, Linda began to gain strength and became a category 1 hurricane, by Friday it had already climbed to category 2 and 3. This Saturday, it had already been classified as category 4. Even so, it is expected that during the afternoon of this Saturday lose a bit of strength and distance yourself even more from the coasts.
Three simultaneous storms: FRED degrades
On Fred, this Saturday it was downgraded to a “tropical wave” and is traveling 50 miles (80 km) west of Havana, Cuba, and 125 miles (205 km) southwest of Key West, south Florida, he said. the National Hurricane Center of the United States (NHC).
Authorities have discontinued the tropical storm advisory they had issued for the Florida Keys. However, Fred is expected to gain strength again to resume its characteristics as a tropical storm this weekend. The system has tended further west so that throughout this weekend it is expected to move over waters of the Gulf of Mexico and not near the coast of southwest and west Florida, as planned and also with alerts and warnings. NHC meteorologists forecast that the system will pass west of the Florida Keys this afternoon, for later, in the tonight, experience a turn to the northwest and make another heading north on Sunday night.
Three storms simultaneously: GRACE gains strength in the Pacific
Above Grace, which formed this Saturday morning and became the seventh tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, has strengthened en route to the Lesser Antilles.
Authorities have issued storm watches to the US and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Martin, St. Bartholomew, St. Kitts and Nevis, Monteserrat, Saba, and St. Eustatius. He even asked the citizens of the north and south coast of the Dominican Republic to keep an eye on Grace’s passage.
What is expected for the PACIFIC
On May 15, the 2021 rainy and tropical cyclone season began in the Pacific. So far, cyclones Andrés, Blanca, Carlos, Dolores, Enrique, Felicia, Guillermo, Hilda, Ignacio, Jimena, Kevin and recently Linda have been formed.
The National Meteorological Service (SMN) of Mexico, predicted that this season that lasts until the month of November, between 14 and 20 named systems will be formed in the Pacific Ocean.
What is expected for the Atlantic
Bad news! There are no signs that the trend will change, so the forecast remains that this will be an active hurricane season in the Atlantic, reported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States (NOAA).
This Wednesday, the agency indicated that there do not appear to be significant changes in what they had foreseen for this hurricane season in the Atlantic, so the forecast is maintained that this year they will form until 10 hurricanes.
Bad news: Forecast of active hurricane season in the Atlantic remains
The hurricane season began on June 1. Now, when we go to the middle, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center reviews and confirms that this 2021 there could be between 15 and 21 named storms and that between 7 and 10 of them could become hurricanes.
Before starting the season, NOAA also warned about the possibility that during this year they will form 3 to 5 major hurricanes, that is, so strong that they could reach categories 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, EFE reported.
Are more hurricanes coming?
Actually, there was a slight increase in the possibilities. In May, NOAA anticipated that they would form between 13 and 20 named tropical storms, as well as between 6 and 10 hurricanes. This time, anticipate that they will form between 15 and 21 named storms, as well as between 7 and 10 hurricanes.
Even so, it does not represent a significant change. “NOAA forecasters maintain an above-average hurricane season forecast for the Atlantic Basin and emphasize the importance of being prepared,” they confirmed through their twitter account.
Forecasters invite you to be prepared for what lies ahead
“The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is underway and atmospheric and ocean conditions remain conducive to an above-average hurricane season, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Meteorological Service ”, they began by saying in a release.
It should be remembered that so far 5 named storms have already been recorded, including Elsa that became a hurricane. NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad said that “after a record start, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of abating as it enters the peak months ahead” adding that the agency will keep communities ” prepared for any threatening storm ”.
Why will it be a more active season than usual?
Forecasters have indicated that the probability of a hurricane season in the Atlantic above normal is 65% and that since 1995 a set of factors has favored the formation of storms in this area.
Matthew Rosencrans, NOAA’s chief seasonal hurricane forecaster explained that this is due to “a combination of competing oceanic and atmospheric conditions generally favoring above-average activity during the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season, including the possible return of La Girl in the months to come ”.
Staying alert for storms
Families should prepare for the storm, that’s what Louis W. Uccellini, director of the National Weather Service, recommends. “Now is the time for families and communities to make sure their preparations are in place,” he said.
“These storms can be devastating, so be prepared for all possible outcomes by keeping an eye on the forecast and the following safety information and possible evacuation notifications issued by emergency officials,” he added.
The forecasters update, which confirms that this will be an active hurricane season, refers to the period that runs through November 30. Even so, it is not expected to reach the record levels that were recorded in 2020.
In the 2020 season, 13 hurricanes were recorded, the second highest number in history. In addition, 6 of them reached a higher category. It was also a record that 12 of these storms ended up touching the coasts of the United States, reported EFE.
Storms, rain and strong winds
Experts have also predicted that the storms that will occur this season in the Atlantic may present maximum sustained winds above 178 kilometers per hour. In this 2021, Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny and Elsa have been formed, but there is still more to come.
That is why the authorities invite the community to remain vigilant and to follow the information issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) with forecasts that could be useful to them. Three storms simultaneously gain strength across the Atlantic and Pacific.
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