- Meteorologists from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States predict the formation of a low pressure system in the Atlantic.
- This event would take place between Thursday and Friday of this week, and it would also move to Central America.
- This year’s hurricane season officially began on June 1.
Meteorologists National Hurricane Center (NHC) of USA predict the formation of a low pressure system in the Atlantic. This event would occur between Thursday and Friday of this week.
This Monday, the experts revealed their forecast regarding the formation of a low pressure system in the Atlantic by the end of the week, which would also move towards Central America.
Meteorologists predict formation of low pressure system in the Atlantic
The new NHC advisory warns of a 20% chance that the system will transform into a tropical storm in the next five days and then move northwest toward Central America.
This year’s hurricane season officially began on June 1. From June through November 30, the National Hurricane Center estimates that an average of 14 named storms will re-record. Of those seven it would escalate to hurricanes, while three of them will be larger
Hurricane season begins
This year the account began even before the official date, since in May the storm Ana was registered, which formed near the Bermuda Islands, reported the EFE news agency.
For this year, a much more active hurricane season is expected than usual, although it is not expected to reach the record levels imposed by 2020. Last year 30 named storms were registered, even exceeding the list published by the agency. .
14 storms expected
Ana, the first name, may already be crossed off the list. However, they are followed by: Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor and Wanda.
21 names that should be enough to baptize the 14 storms that National Hurricane Center esteem for this season. Of these only 7 would become hurricanes and only 3 will be major hurricanes. Still, nature is unpredictable and we could end up using a few too many names.
Hurricane season amid Covid-19
Kevin Guthrie, the new director of the Florida Division of Emergency Management, noted that although the pandemic is more under control this year, it remains an important element when thinking about planning in case of storms.
Guthrie pointed out in an interview that although more than 50% of the population is vaccinated, they work with the federal government to install shelters in which they can only receive people who have tested positive or who have any symptoms of Covid-19.
They assure that the hurricane season will be more active than normal
They assure that the hurricane season will be more active than normal. Last year various phenomena wreaked havoc across the US in a highly unusual season that even exhausted the names on the hurricane list.
The hurricane season in the Atlantic, which begins on June 1, would be less intense than that of 2020, but more active than normal, according to the annual forecast released this Thursday by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (NOAA).
Hurricane season more active than normal
The agency detailed the forecasts for the hurricane season in the Atlantic basin, where the formation of 13 to 20 named tropical storms is expected, according to Efe. This Atlantic hurricane season will be “above normal”.
Although it is not expected to be similar to the one in 2020, which broke all-time records with 30 named storms, NOAA administrator Ben Friedman told a virtual press conference. Friedman pointed out that the climate map projection shows a 60% chance that cyclonic activity in the Atlantic is above normal.
How many hurricanes will there be in this season that is more active than normal?
Between 6 and 10 hurricanes are expected, of which between 3 and 5 would be of a higher category (3, 4 and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), according to the forecast obtained by Efe. However, there are still chances that this hurricane season will be more active than normal.
A 30% probability indicates that it is close to normal and 10% that it is below normal, Efe highlighted. NOAA also predicts a 70% chance that the storms that do form will reach winds of a minimum of 63 kilometers per hour.
“It only takes one hurricane for its effect to be devastating”
“We do not expect this hurricane season to be as active as 2020,” but “it only takes one hurricane for its effect to be devastating,” said Matthew Rosencrans, chief meteorologist at the Center for Climate Prediction at the NOAA.
The year 2020 also closed with the second highest recorded number of hurricanes, fourteen, seven of them of a higher category (3,4 and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale), when the average is 3. In addition to the impact on the US coast of 12 storms, another record, points out Efe. Meteorologists predict formation of low pressure system in the Atlantic.
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